S&P 500 inching toward record highs as geopolitical tensions ease. Here’s what experts say and what could flip the script.
🌍 What’s Moving the S&P 500?
- Eyes on Iran:
Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel believes the S&P 500 can hit new highs—“as long as Iran doesn’t retaliate” after recent U.S. strikes - Global Stability Signs:
U.S. markets saw a small rebound (~+0.9%) after last week’s dip, showing surprising calm amid tensions - Wall of Worries:
Some analysts caution that U.S. tariffs, rising delinquencies, and slowing consumer demand could still trigger a 20–25% drop in the index
Quick Take
- Best-case:
Iran stays silent → S&P 500 rally possible, fresh highs ahead. - Risk case:
Tariff spikes + economic slowdown + a flare-up in geopolitics → could send the index below 4,500 this year.
Why You Should Care
The S&P 500 is more than just numbers—it reflects how confident global investors are. If it surges, expect emerging markets (including India) to benefit. If it drops sharply, brace for volatility.
❓FAQs on the S&P 500
Q. What’s fueling the S&P 500 rise?
Four weeks of calm after U.S.–Iran strikes, plus better-than-expected tech earnings are pushing it higher businessinsider.comm.economictimes.com.
Q. Is the S&P 500 near record highs?
Yes—it bounced back above 6,000 recently and could touch all-time highs if global peace holds .
Q. Could it crash?
Possible. Analysts warn that tariffs, weak fundamentals, and geopolitical risks could push it down 20–25% .
